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About the SOSPDR site

The aim of this site is to present theory and tools for effective, relatively low-risk investing. Unfortunately the site is quite incomplete. The author is an old, retired mathematician. He is making up this stuff for his personal pleasure and profit. Whether he will ever finish the project remains to be seen.

Funds and Portfolios

Select Sector SPDR ("Spider") Funds are exchange traded funds benchmarked against the nine Select Sector Indexes published by the American Stock Exchange. The Select Sector Indexes, in aggregate, represent the general industry classifications that make up the S&P 500 Composite Stock Index.

Here are symbols for the funds and some (ex post optimal) portfolios we consider.
SOLNG Sharpe-Optimal Long SPDR Portfolio
SOLS0 S0-Optimal Long-Short SPDR Portfolio
(short-monies-received lie fallow)
SOLS1 S1-Optimal Long-Short SPDR Portfolio
(short-monies-received are reinvested in the base)
SPY S&P 500 SPDR
XLY Consumer Discretionary SPDR
XLP Consumer Staples SPDR
XLE Energy SPDR
XLF Financial SPDR
XLV Health Care SPDR
XLI Industrial SPDR
XLB Materials SPDR
XLK Technology SPDR
XLU Utilities SPDR
BSV Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF (base) (We use 3 month
treasury bill rates for historical experiments [STRATEGY])
All ex post Sharpe-optimal portfolios are based on samples of 39 successive 13-week (simple) returns.

To explore this site

The following labels, which appear at the top and bottom of each page, may help you navigate the Sharpe-Optimal SPDR Portfolios site. Here's a description of where they lead.
home Vic Norton's home page. Who is Vic Norton? That's me.
finance-math Vic Norton's Finance-Math page.
SOPDR The SOPDR cover page. The title and a picture.
ABOUT This page—where you are now.
PCALC The SPDR Portfolio Calculator. This tool may help you manage your SPDR portfolio.
RECENT Recent results. Sharpe ratios, expected returns, standard deviations, and Sharpe-optimal portfolio proportions for the past 14 weeks.
STRATEGY Various investment strategies and how they performed since the beginning of 2000.
next The next page, if you are browsing. The SPDR Portfolio Calculator page is the next page from here.

Talking points

Here are some talking points, plovdivtalk.pdf (around 2.1 MB), for a talk at the Fourth International Conference of Applied Mathematics and Computing at Plovdiv, Bulgaria, and bgsutalk.pdf (around 0.9 MB), for a talk at Bowling Green State University. These notes may be indecipherable. Sorry about that!

Computation

Remark: this paragraph is somewhat out of date.
The Octave routine soptf (Sharpe optimal portfolio) did much of the computation for this study. This routine is in turn an application of the maxcos routine for maximizing a cosine function. These routines are free software; they are contained in the file maxcos.zip.

Small historical variations

Most of the data contained in this site are recomputed from week to week using adjusted closing prices from <http://finance.yahoo.com/>. These adjusted closing prices change from one week to the next; that's the adjustment part. As a consequence there may be small changes in some of our data that would seem to be fixed by history.

Good luck with your investments!



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